Three Things Decide a Comeback, and They Are Not the Ones People Name
Ask anyone why a player fights back from a set down and you will hear about nerve, fitness, or the surface suiting them. The tennis record is large enough to rank those explanations against each other, and the order is not the one most people would guess. Across 116,382 completed professional matches, a player who loses the opening set goes on to win 16.52% of the time.
That is the number everything below moves. The Format Does More Than the PlayerThe biggest single lever is how long the match is. In best-of-three the comeback rate is 16.52%.
In best-of-five at ATP level it is 23.98%…
Read the full report on Mensxp
Story file
How this page works. The Headline Update lists this report from Mensxp with a short summary and a link to the original. The original reporting and photograph belong to the publisher. Spotted an error in our summary? Tell our corrections desk.